Oregon
W-L: (44-17) PR = 97.1209Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 6- 2 214 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 14- 5 214 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 14- 4 215 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 11- 1 219 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 18- 6 220 A Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 3- 0 221 H Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 7- 0 222 H Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 15- 6 227 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 7- 2 228 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 6- 8 301 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 6- 3 303 A SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 6-15 306 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 8- 5 307 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 1- 2 308 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 15- 4 310 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 10- 0 311 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 6- 3 313 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 3- 2 314 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 5- 1 315 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 7- 6 320 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 20- 6 321 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 6- 5 322 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 10-11 324 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 6- 0 325 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 12- 4 327 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 0 328 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 8 329 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 0 331 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 0- 3 402 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 0-10 403 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 5- 2 404 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 3- 4 408 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 9-16 410 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 7- 6 411 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 8-10 412 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 5- 4 417 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 16- 6 418 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 13-16 419 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 11- 5 422 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 7- 3 424 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5- 4 425 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5- 4 426 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5- 0 428 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 4- 3 501 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 6- 4 502 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 10- 4 503 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 5- 9 508 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1-11 509 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 9- 6 510 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 6- 9 514 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 1- 0 516 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 6- 5 523 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 8- 0 523 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 9- 4 524 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 2- 3 529 H Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 14- 2 530 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4- 0 530 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4- 0 531 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 4- 1 606 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 3-11 607 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H George Mason 6- 2 4 8 - -3.77
214 H George Mason 14- 5 9 8 1.23
214 H George Mason 14- 4 10 8 + 2.23
215 H George Mason 11- 1 10 8 + 2.23
219 A UConn 18- 6 12 2 +++ 9.91
220 A Long Island University 3- 0 3 4 -1.27
221 H Youngstown State 7- 0 7 6 1.33
222 H Youngstown State 15- 6 9 6 + 3.33
227 H Arizona 7- 2 5 4 1.03
228 A UC Irvine 6- 8 -2 2 -- -4.12
301 A Nebraska 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.60
303 A SE Louisiana 6-15 -9 1 --- -10.50
306 H Presbyterian 8- 5 3 8 -- -4.90
307 A Purdue 1- 2 -1 0 -1.10
308 A Purdue 15- 4 11 0 +++ 10.90
310 H Xavier 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.80
311 H Xavier 6- 3 3 4 -1.20
313 H Indiana 3- 2 1 3 -1.74
314 H Indiana 5- 1 4 3 1.26
315 H Indiana 7- 6 1 3 -1.74
320 H Northwestern 20- 6 14 5 +++ 8.72
321 A Seattle U 6- 5 1 6 -- -4.71
322 H Northwestern 10-11 -1 5 --- -6.28
324 A UC San Diego 6- 0 6 2 + 3.97
325 A UC San Diego 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.97
327 A UC Santa Barbara 4- 0 4 0 + 3.81
328 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.19
329 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 0 2 0 1.81
331 H Portland 0- 3 -3 5 --- -7.53
402 A Michigan 0-10 -10 1 --- -10.61
403 A Michigan 5- 2 3 1 + 2.39
404 A Michigan 3- 4 -1 1 -1.61
408 H Creighton 9-16 -7 3 --- -10.38
410 A Jacksonville 7- 6 1 3 -1.81
411 H Nebraska 8-10 -2 1 - -2.75
412 H Nebraska 5- 4 1 1 0.25
417 A Illinois 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.70
418 A Illinois 13-16 -3 1 -- -4.30
419 A Illinois 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.70
422 A Oregon State 7- 3 4 0 + 3.83
424 H Penn State 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.08
425 H Penn State 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.08
426 H Penn State 5- 0 5 6 -1.08
428 H Gonzaga 4- 3 1 2 -1.09
501 A Washington 6- 4 2 3 -0.57
502 A Washington 10- 4 6 3 + 3.43
503 A Washington 5- 9 -4 3 --- -6.57
508 A UCLA 1-11 -10 -2 --- -8.03
509 A UCLA 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.97
510 A UCLA 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.03
516 H USC 6- 5 1 0 0.70
523 A Nebraska 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.60
523 H Washington 9- 4 5 4 1.08
524 A UCLA 2- 3 -1 -2 0.97
529 H Yale 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.67
530 A Washington State 4- 0 4 2 1.56
530 A Washington State 4- 0 4 2 1.56
531 A Oregon State 4- 1 3 0 + 2.83
606 A Texas 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.98
607 H Texas 5- 6 -1 -2 0.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A SE Louisiana 6-15 -9 1 --- -10.50 322 H Northwestern 10-11 -1 5 --- -6.28 328 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.19 331 H Portland 0- 3 -3 5 --- -7.53 402 A Michigan 0-10 -10 1 --- -10.61 408 H Creighton 9-16 -7 3 --- -10.38 503 A Washington 5- 9 -4 3 --- -6.57 508 A UCLA 1-11 -10 -2 --- -8.03 228 A UC Irvine 6- 8 -2 2 -- -4.12 306 H Presbyterian 8- 5 3 8 -- -4.90 321 A Seattle U 6- 5 1 6 -- -4.71 418 A Illinois 13-16 -3 1 -- -4.30 424 H Penn State 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.08 425 H Penn State 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.08 606 A Texas 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.98 213 H George Mason 6- 2 4 8 - -3.77 411 H Nebraska 8-10 -2 1 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A UConn 18- 6 12 2 +++ 9.91 308 A Purdue 15- 4 11 0 +++ 10.90 320 H Northwestern 20- 6 14 5 +++ 8.72 417 A Illinois 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.70 523 A Nebraska 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.60 529 H Yale 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.67 310 H Xavier 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.80 325 A UC San Diego 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.97 419 A Illinois 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.70 509 A UCLA 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.97 214 H George Mason 14- 4 10 8 + 2.23 215 H George Mason 11- 1 10 8 + 2.23 222 H Youngstown State 15- 6 9 6 + 3.33 301 A Nebraska 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.60 324 A UC San Diego 6- 0 6 2 + 3.97 327 A UC Santa Barbara 4- 0 4 0 + 3.81 403 A Michigan 5- 2 3 1 + 2.39 422 A Oregon State 7- 3 4 0 + 3.83 502 A Washington 10- 4 6 3 + 3.43 531 A Oregon State 4- 1 3 0 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 6- 2 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 0.47 7.47
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 14- 5 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 0.47 7.47
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 14- 4 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 0.47 7.47
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 11- 1 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 0.47 7.47
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 18- 6 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.47 12.86
3 A Long Island Un ( 3- 6, 92.2) 3- 0 -7.73 10.70 0.68 0.47 10.78
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 7- 0 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.47 9.47
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 15- 6 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.47 9.47
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 7- 2 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.47 11.07
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 6- 8 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.47 -1.16
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.47 15.40
3 A SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 6-15 -4.95 13.47 0.68 0.47 -1.01
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 8- 5 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.47 7.35
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 1- 2 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.47 -0.68
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 15- 4 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.47 14.74
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 10- 0 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.47 10.85
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 6- 3 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.47 10.85
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 3- 2 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.47 12.24
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 5- 1 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.47 12.24
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 7- 6 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.47 12.24
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 20- 6 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.47 9.83
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 6- 5 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.47 9.42
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 10-11 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.47 -1.91
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 6- 0 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.47 12.91
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 12- 4 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.47 12.91
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 0 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.47 14.66
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 8 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.47 -0.70
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 0 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.47 14.66
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 0- 3 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.47 -1.73
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 0-10 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.47 -0.80
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 5- 2 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.47 14.26
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 3- 4 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.47 -0.80
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 9-16 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.47 -1.46
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 7- 6 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.47 12.18
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 8-10 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.47 -0.84
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 5- 4 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.47 14.12
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 16- 6 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.47 13.61
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 13-16 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.47 -0.97
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 11- 5 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.47 13.61
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 7- 3 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.47 14.68
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 5- 4 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.47 9.07
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 5- 4 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.47 9.07
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 5- 0 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.47 9.07
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 4- 3 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.47 12.85
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 6- 4 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.47 12.40
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 10- 4 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.47 12.40
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 5- 9 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.47 -1.27
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 1-11 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.47 -0.19
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 9- 6 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.47 16.71
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 6- 9 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.47 -0.19
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 1- 0 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.47 12.17
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 6- 5 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.47 14.55
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 8- 0 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.47 15.40
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 9- 4 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.47 11.12
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 2- 3 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.47 -0.19
3 H Yale ( 5- 4, 92.5) 14- 2 -7.43 10.99 -0.68 0.47 9.78
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 4- 0 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.47 12.53
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 4- 0 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.47 12.53
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 4- 1 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.47 14.68
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 3-11 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.47 -0.06
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 5- 6 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.47 -0.26
------
506.34
|
winning pts = 520.5779 losing points = -14.2375
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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